Tectonic Therapeutic Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,533.42
1 Week
5,248.60
1 Month
5,794.66
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2018 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1855 | 1.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8198 | 187.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1855 | -0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.55 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9898 | 133.44*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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