V-Lab
Tectonic Therapeutic Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
6,029.19
1 Week
6,932.55
1 Month
5,761.37
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 3, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1864 | 1.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8191 | 190.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1864 | -0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.53 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9897 | 131.17*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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