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Operadora De Sites Mexicanos Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,383.45

increased by 2,391.79

1 Week

2,140.24

increased by 148.58

1 Month

1,755.53

decreased by 236.13

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Operadora De Sites Mexicanos ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 15, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.09**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1067
11.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9144
289.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0420
-3.38***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-