V-Lab
Pfizer Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 25th, 2026
1 Day
9.14
1 Week
9.16
1 Month
10.85
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.0517 | 10.93*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9117 | 87.11*** |
| γleverage | -0.0517 | -1.28 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0195 | 1.69* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0664 | 3.49*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9316 | 48.29*** |
0.938
Persistence11d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0517 | 10.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9117 | 87.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0517 | -1.28 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0195 | 1.69* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0664 | 3.49*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9316 | 48.29*** |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
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