How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2117	11.71***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7463	113.42***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2029	-6.35***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0000	0.00
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.02
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9975	1,601.08***

V-Lab

Orange County Bancorp Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Orange County Bancorp Inc Analyses