V-Lab
Mingteng International Corp Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
290,241.30
1 Week
308,306.86
1 Month
341,282.43
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 500 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0576 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9589 | 108.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0358 | -0.58 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0174 | 0.78 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.61 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.91 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
500 days
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