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Mingteng International Corp Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

290,241.30

decreased by 12,443.70

1 Week

308,306.86

increased by 5,621.86

1 Month

341,282.43

increased by 38,597.43

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mingteng International Corp Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 500 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0576
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9589
108.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0358
-0.58
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0174
0.78
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.61
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.91

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

500 days