How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.4514	2.68***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.3863	8.60***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.2875	1.00
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	342,601.1042

V-Lab

Miracle Industries ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Miracle Industries Analyses