Flexsteel Industries Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026
1 Day
4,829.74
1 Week
5,248.39
1 Month
4,597.38
Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 13, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 106 | |
| αARCH | 0.0830 | 9.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9134 | 96.03*** |
| γleverage | -0.0830 | -2.00** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0134 | 1.58 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9853 | 117.75*** |
0.955
Persistence15d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0830 | 9.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9134 | 96.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0830 | -2.00** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0134 | 1.58 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9853 | 117.75*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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