V-Lab
Dynasty Ceramic PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
13,037.77
1 Week
6,854.90
1 Month
3,687.46
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2161 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7466 | 3.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2161 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5890 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4110 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.855
Half-life:
4 days
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