CTO Realty Growth Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,882.56
1 Week
1,626.99
1 Month
1,749.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1061 | 0.93 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8092 | 16.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1061 | -0.40 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.8506 | 1.47 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0997 | 6.86*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9003 | 9.29*** |
Persistence:
0.862
Half-life:
5 days
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