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Bigbloc Constructi Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

4,037.51

increased by 322.21

1 Week

3,932.54

increased by 217.24

1 Month

4,523.29

increased by 807.99

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Bigbloc Constructi ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 5, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1249
0.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0498
1.78*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9457
266.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0090
0.26

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-