V-Lab
Ardmore Shipping Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
2,621.93
1 Week
2,465.29
1 Month
2,648.33
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1387 | 0.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7239 | 6.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1387 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.72 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1768 | 0.98 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8232 | 1.89* |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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