V-Lab
Ardent Health Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,253.83
increased by 1,096.42
1 Week
4,104.67
decreased by 52.74
1 Month
3,641.48
decreased by 515.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 92419 trading days (~366.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0561 | 4.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9312 | 143.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0254 | 1.18 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
92419 days
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