Abbott Laboratories ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026
1 Day
15.07
1 Week
13.73
1 Month
13.07
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0517 | 10.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9050 | 77.11*** |
| γleverage | -0.0517 | -1.87* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0111 | 1.44 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0293 | 5.17*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9698 | 168.69*** |
0.931
Persistence10d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0517 | 10.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9050 | 77.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0517 | -1.87* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0111 | 1.44 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0293 | 5.17*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9698 | 168.69*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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