V-Lab
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
27.49
increased by 0.08
1 Week
28.24
increased by 0.83
1 Month
29.87
increased by 2.46
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 95% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4456 | 11.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0462 | 19.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9256 | 584.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0439 | 9.38*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
110 days
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