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Kissei Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.49

increased by 0.08

1 Week

28.24

increased by 0.83

1 Month

29.87

increased by 2.46

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kissei Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 95% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4456
11.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0462
19.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9256
584.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0439
9.38***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days