V-Lab
HBIS Resources Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
237.69
increased by 92.97
1 Week
178.68
increased by 33.96
1 Month
127.91
decreased by 16.81
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 14, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.8913 | 0.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4428 | 1.75* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.6682 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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