iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
1.08%
increased by 0.08%
1 Week
1.08%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
1.09%
increased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 0.0422 | 6.43 | |
| 0.9578 | 318.86 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
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