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Rithm Property Trust Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

22.61%

decreased by 1.84%

1 Week

22.96%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Month

24.24%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rithm Property Trust Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 16, 2015 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-lifev = 3.77 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.9523
1.51
αARCH0.1144
14.21***
βGARCH0.9889
143.15***
νDF3.7736
8.40***

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9523
1.51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1144
14.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9889
143.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7736
8.40***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days