CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	86
αARCH	0.0636	1.41
βGARCH	0.7332	18.24***
γleverage	0.1913	2.72***
λ₁tau intercept	0.1952	1.56
λ₂forecast adj.	1.0000	11.33***
λ₃tau persistence	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	86
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0636	1.41
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7332	18.24***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1913	2.72***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1952	1.56
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	1.0000	11.33***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

Rithm Property Trust Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Rithm Property Trust Inc Analyses