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V-Lab

Leonardo SpA GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

34.02%

increased by 1.84%

1 Week

34.30%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

35.28%

increased by 3.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Leonardo SpA GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1429
10.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0655
29.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9120
261.48***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days