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Summit Hotel Properties Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

24.55%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Week

24.85%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Month

25.91%

increased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Summit Hotel Properties Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 9, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.61 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 50-day half-lifev = 5.61 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.5389
1.52
αARCH0.0734
7.51***
βGARCH0.9861
102.33***
νDF5.6122
1.92*

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.5389
1.52
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0734
7.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9861
102.33***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6122
1.92*

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days