V-Lab
Summit Hotel Properties Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
25.80%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
26.05%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
26.96%
increased by 0.53%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 9, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 393% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 393% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0530 | 2.70*** |
| αARCH | 0.0190 | 1.60 |
| βGARCH | 0.9333 | 85.98*** |
| γleverage | 0.0747 | 2.99*** |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0530 | 2.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0190 | 1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9333 | 85.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0747 | 2.99*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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