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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.1669	14.61
$α$	0.1501	27.10
$β$	0.8455	125.27
$γ$	0.0387	1.40
$δ$	0.8375	19.27

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Fossil Group Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:92.57% (-8.18%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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