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Faria Lima Capital Recebiveis Imobiliarios I Fdo Inv Imob GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

15.91%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Week

18.08%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

21.29%

increased by 3.03%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Faria Lima Capital Recebiveis Imobiliarios I Fdo Inv Imob GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1610
0.76
αARCH0.2244
3.19***
βGARCH0.8535
4.52***
νDF2.1721
12.23***

0.853

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1610
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2244
3.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8535
4.52***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1721
12.23***

Persistence:

0.853

Half-life:

4 days