V-Lab
Faria Lima Capital Recebiveis Imobiliarios I Fdo Inv Imob GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
15.91%
decreased by 2.35%
1 Week
18.08%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
21.29%
increased by 3.03%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1610 | 0.76 |
| αARCH | 0.2244 | 3.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8535 | 4.52*** |
| νDF | 2.1721 | 12.23*** |
0.853
Persistence4d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1610 | 0.76 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2244 | 3.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8535 | 4.52*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.1721 | 12.23*** |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
Other Faria Lima Capital Recebiveis Imobiliarios I Fdo Inv Imob Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Real Estate