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V-Lab

Hotland Innovation Asset MAN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

12.06%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

13.85%

increased by 1.76%

1 Month

15.34%

increased by 3.25%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hotland Innovation Asset MAN GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 31, 2022 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2858
2.68***
αARCH0.1913
2.29**
βGARCH0.4938
4.03***
γleverage0.0616
0.37

0.716

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2858
2.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1913
2.29**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4938
4.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0616
0.37

Persistence:

0.716

Half-life:

2 days