Xponential Fitness Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,038.66
1 Week
5,136.01
1 Month
7,029.80
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0997 | 0.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7023 | 9.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0997 | -0.20 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4361 | 8.53*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5639 | 0.58 |
Persistence:
0.752
Half-life:
2 days
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