Twamev Construction and Infrastructure Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
2,859.93
increased by 605.62
1 Week
2,157.39
decreased by 96.92
1 Month
1,863.62
decreased by 390.69
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.27 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0606 | 4.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9574 | 360.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0360 | -1.56 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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