Ferrari NV Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
92.94
increased by 3.93
1 Week
87.40
decreased by 1.61
1 Month
91.34
increased by 2.33
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2016 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 963 trading days (~3.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4127 | 2.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0124 | 5.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9571 | 639.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0596 | 10.79*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
963 days
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