Mitre Realty Empreendimentos Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,464.69
1 Week
5,636.92
1 Month
5,487.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 49510 trading days (~196.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 84% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.68 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0678 | 12.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9037 | 257.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0571 | 6.04*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
49510 days
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