Lantronix Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
5,785.90
1 Week
5,812.09
1 Month
5,469.56
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 4, 2000 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2065 | 5.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7975 | 201.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0727 | -1.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0314 | 38.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9656 | 194.44*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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