V-Lab
Larimar Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
6,589.56
1 Week
6,898.13
1 Month
5,943.23
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 669 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1775 | 10.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8314 | 285.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0200 | -0.59 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9999 | 996.92*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
669 days
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