V-Lab
Krishival Foods Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
7,721.30
1 Week
5,294.01
1 Month
3,160.51
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 76% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.78 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0762 | 10.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8949 | 256.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0579 | 4.09*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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