Innventure Inc -Redh ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
6,339.10
1 Week
5,805.80
1 Month
5,890.05
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0817 | 5.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9072 | 103.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0817 | -2.18** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9953 | 334.88*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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