Greif Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
7,509.64
1 Week
5,375.03
1 Month
4,902.76
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 18, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1230 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8311 | 71.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1230 | -0.84 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0391 | 3.07*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9604 | 96.33*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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