CION Investment Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
4,829.43
1 Week
4,922.29
1 Month
4,670.28
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0523 | 15.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9246 | 252.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0523 | -3.51*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.0967 | 31.85*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9946 | 764.52*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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