V-Lab
C&F Financial Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
8,600.64
1 Week
9,544.19
1 Month
17,856.74
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 1997 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 86 | |
| αARCH | 0.0761 | 13.15*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9264 | 139.63*** |
| γleverage | -0.0278 | -2.23** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9989 | 36.76*** |
0.989
Persistence61d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0761 | 13.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9264 | 139.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0278 | -2.23** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9989 | 36.76*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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