V-Lab
Biora Therapeutics Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
1,244,369,000,000,000.00
1 Week
818,795,637,333,333.50
1 Month
224,396,146,636,363.62
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3077 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8461 | 0.52 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3077 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7946 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2054 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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