V-Lab
BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
30.41
1 Week
1,160.97
1 Month
2,493.72
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0077 | 95.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9911 | 1,370.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0077 | -72.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 36.00*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0659 | 354.13*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
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