Skip to main content
V-Lab

BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

30.41

decreased by 317.20

1 Week

1,160.97

increased by 813.36

1 Month

2,493.72

increased by 2,146.11

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0077
95.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9911
1,370.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0077
-72.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
36.00***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0659
354.13***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days