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Cayenne Entertainment Tech Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

3,929.74

increased by 483.54

1 Week

3,547.24

increased by 101.04

1 Month

3,158.04

decreased by 288.16

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Cayenne Entertainment Tech ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2010 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.7109
0.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0012
1.07
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9747
599.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0482
0.93

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days