Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:15.99% (-1.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0550 | 7.07 | |
| 0.1615 | 8.12 | |
| 0.7968 | 34.78 | |
| 0.0073 | 1.89 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 9, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 9, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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