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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.1017	8.51
$α$	0.1952	2.95
$β$	0.5064	4.44
$γ_{1}$	-0.0806	-1.59

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UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:12.46% (-1.97%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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