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V-Lab

Shengfeng Development Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

125.69%

decreased by 8.73%

1 Week

122.46%

decreased by 11.96%

1 Month

113.80%

decreased by 20.62%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Shengfeng Development Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.31 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7130
5.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1730
12.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7888
46.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2950
7.65***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3084
11.83***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days