Shengfeng Development Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
125.69%
decreased by 8.73%
1 Week
122.46%
decreased by 11.96%
1 Month
113.80%
decreased by 20.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.31 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7130 | 5.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1730 | 12.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7888 | 46.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2950 | 7.65*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3084 | 11.83*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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