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Plaza Retail Reit GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

41.36%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

44.31%

increased by 1.81%

1 Month

54.48%

increased by 11.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Plaza Retail Reit GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 2, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.04 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.04 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst480.7253
2.79***
αARCH0.0759
33.58***
βGARCH0.9989
2,736.82***
νDF2.0392
1,822.37***

0.999

Persistence

654d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

480.7253
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0759
33.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9989
2,736.82***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0392
1,822.37***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

654 days