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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0136	6.00
$α$	0.1997	28.74
$β$	0.9743	658.73
$γ$	-0.0894	-13.38

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:17.55% (-0.94%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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