Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
102.37%
increased by 0.28%
1 Week
108.99%
increased by 6.90%
1 Month
126.28%
increased by 24.19%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.87* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2507 | 2.36** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8131 | 22.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2278 | -2.00** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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