CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0940	1.44
αARCH	0.4760	2.14**
βGARCH	0.9970	242.58***
γleverage	-0.1441	-0.99

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0940	1.44
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.4760	2.14**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9970	242.58***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1441	-0.99

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Allurion Technologies Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

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News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

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