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Fii Mogno Hoteis GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

50.86%

decreased by 3.57%

1 Week

50.55%

decreased by 3.88%

1 Month

49.58%

decreased by 4.85%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Fii Mogno Hoteis GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3201
1.45
αARCH0.0760
1.55
βGARCH0.8452
20.93***
γleverage0.0828
0.79

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3201
1.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0760
1.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8452
20.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0828
0.79

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days