OZE Capital SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
69.28%
decreased by 1.83%
1 Week
75.85%
increased by 4.74%
1 Month
90.72%
increased by 19.61%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8471 | 1.96 | |
| 0.1550 | 5.91 | |
| 0.7758 | 22.57 | |
| -1.0403 | -0.99 | |
| 1.8860 | 1.25 | |
| -1.3033 | -1.91 | |
| 0.5699 | 1.27 | |
| -0.1326 | -0.29 | |
| -0.0728 | -0.16 | |
| 0.2417 | 0.51 | |
| -0.3053 | -0.63 | |
| 0.4802 | 1.11 | |
| -0.5385 | -1.59 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 23, 2010 to May 15, 2026
Dec 23, 2010 to May 15, 2026
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