Oak Valley Bancorp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:18.07% (-1.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0738 | 4.17 | |
| 0.2131 | 8.15 | |
| 0.6765 | 17.70 | |
| -0.2291 | -0.80 | |
| 0.4606 | 1.11 | |
| -0.2973 | -1.54 | |
| -0.0693 | -0.35 | |
| 0.1452 | 0.67 | |
| 0.1134 | 0.56 | |
| -0.1013 | -0.58 | |
| -0.2176 | -1.45 | |
| 0.5073 | 3.35 | |
| -0.7833 | -3.61 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 11, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 11, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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