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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.6218	4.08
$α$	0.1740	4.13
$β$	0.7298	13.01
$γ_{1}$	-0.1492	-2.40

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Orange County Bancorp Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:40.10% (-4.14%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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