FiscalNote Holdings Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:199.32% (+65.62%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6882 | 2.58 | |
| 0.5753 | 8.56 | |
| 0.4231 | 6.26 | |
| -11.6860 | -2.19 | |
| 14.9311 | 1.80 | |
| 11.4359 | 2.38 | |
| -30.7285 | -9.34 | |
| 20.8310 | 5.46 | |
| -9.5619 | -1.93 | |
| 9.6200 | 1.74 | |
| -4.1099 | -0.59 | |
| -14.2636 | -0.84 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 29, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 29, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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